Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024613 0.026479 0.028427 0.030614 0.033003 0.035538 0.038434
2025-01-05 0.021415 0.024051 0.026944 0.030367 0.034319 0.038753 0.044126
2025-01-12 0.018998 0.022020 0.025465 0.029704 0.034807 0.040788 0.048378
2025-01-19 0.017688 0.021042 0.024986 0.030001 0.036258 0.043869 0.053927
2025-01-26 0.016489 0.020046 0.024339 0.029953 0.037173 0.046244 0.058661
2025-02-02 0.015682 0.019439 0.024082 0.030309 0.038543 0.049201 0.064279
2025-02-09 0.014722 0.018556 0.023390 0.030018 0.038996 0.050929 0.068312
2025-02-16 0.013949 0.017852 0.022867 0.029883 0.039606 0.052850 0.072688
2025-02-23 0.013227 0.017164 0.022310 0.029644 0.040023 0.054490 0.076731
2025-03-02 0.012659 0.016646 0.021940 0.029621 0.040713 0.056520 0.081448
2025-03-09 0.012012 0.015980 0.021327 0.029209 0.040799 0.057653 0.084855
2025-03-16 0.011375 0.015296 0.020647 0.028653 0.040625 0.058363 0.087621
2025-03-23 0.010871 0.014777 0.020182 0.028390 0.040877 0.059742 0.091574
2025-03-30 0.010397 0.014280 0.019721 0.028104 0.041071 0.061030 0.095461
2025-04-06 0.009862 0.013669 0.019065 0.027486 0.040706 0.061403 0.097825
2025-04-13 0.009618 0.013470 0.018999 0.027754 0.041735 0.064049 0.104238
2025-04-20 0.009306 0.013154 0.018742 0.027709 0.042252 0.065880 0.109351
2025-04-27 0.009111 0.013004 0.018725 0.028034 0.043377 0.068777 0.116581
2025-05-04 0.008778 0.012631 0.018351 0.027768 0.043505 0.069978 0.120785
2025-05-11 0.008501 0.012331 0.018076 0.027645 0.043859 0.071581 0.125847
2025-05-18 0.008217 0.012011 0.017755 0.027427 0.044035 0.072870 0.130395
2025-05-25 0.007995 0.011777 0.017559 0.027406 0.044544 0.074775 0.136286
2025-06-01 0.007705 0.011426 0.017163 0.027030 0.044407 0.075489 0.139838